Alchemy Today - Latest Comments

Re: Is the devil in the digits?

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Re: Is the devil in the digits?

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Re: One last thing on bowgate

orwellsghost — Sun, 15 Nov 2009 12:06:15 -0000

Number 1. John Adams WAS NOT the President at the time, he was an Ambassador.

Number 2, he did not give the deep bowing required by the Kings subjects, he did 3 half assed bows and said he could not bring himself to bow any deeper.

So there you have it.
John Adams did not feel comfortable bowing to the King and only did his impromptu bowing because he was an Ambassador, if we were President at the time I GUARANTEE you he would not have bowed.

Re: People die of bedsores in the UK!

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Re: Is the devil in the digits?

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Re: Is the devil in the digits?

skintreatment — Wed, 07 Oct 2009 03:32:32 -0000

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It’s trivial to continue and think of dozens of equivalent events all with a 3.5% probability. In fact, there is a 100% chance that a string of 116 random digits will feature such a pattern (update: I suspect this, but I’m not remotely capable of proving it).

Re: Is the devil in the digits?

skintreatment — Wed, 07 Oct 2009 03:30:02 -0000

Acne Treatment As a point of comparison, we can analyze the state-by-state vote counts for John McCain and Barack Obama in last year’s U.S. presidential election. The frequencies of last digits in these election returns never rise above 14 percent or fall below 6 percent, a pattern we would expect to see in seventy out of a hundred fair elections.

Re: Really now…

alchemytoday — Thu, 01 Oct 2009 17:57:19 -0000

testing

Re: Making history

swingtrading — Wed, 30 Sep 2009 08:11:17 -0000

Interesting post. I have made a twitter post about this. My friends will enjoy reading it also.

Re: The earth has warmed faster in the past 10 years than in the past half century

wight_loss_pill — Sun, 27 Sep 2009 05:06:10 -0000

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Re: Is the devil in the digits?

wight_loss_pill — Fri, 25 Sep 2009 05:46:47 -0000

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Re: How will the GOP explain voting against one of the biggest middle-class tax cuts in history?

tmichael1 — Mon, 21 Sep 2009 08:51:10 -0000

Interesting post. I have stumbled this for my friends. Hope others find it as interesting as I did.

Re: Really now…

alchemytoday — Wed, 16 Sep 2009 18:28:05 -0000

It means ACORN has hired idiots. Like I said, anyone who's stupid enough to think those are actual Baltimore criminals is not bright enough to aid in tax fraud. Alternatively, they could've just been fooling around in which case they were acting stupidly. Either way they should be, and were, fired. Both of these possibilities seem far more likely than the existence of an organization that demands no money in exchange for help in organizing front companies from criminal enterprises seeking to evade taxes. Have you not seen the Wire? That's what we have sleazy lawyers for.

Re: Really now…

scooby509 — Wed, 16 Sep 2009 17:22:04 -0000

It's four offices now. I don't see how you can dismiss them as stupid: their advice was very sensible and they clearly had a solid grasp of the tax code. The issue isn't one of intelligence or "behavior," it's one of an environment in which there is a complete disregard for any kind of law or morality.

How is it that no one in those offices noticed that their coworkers are completely lawless and amoral?

"Either way, it doesn't reflect poorly on the larger organization assuming they are fired..."

Clearly the Census Bureau disagrees with you.

Re: Really now…

alchemytoday — Wed, 16 Sep 2009 12:40:56 -0000

It doesn't surprise me at all that anyone in Baltimore who would be tricked into thinking that those two were who they said they were would also be stupid enough to think that it's legitimate to give tax advice for brothels. There are really two possibilities here:
1. These two people in Baltimore are actually that stupid
2. They were playing along with an obvious joke and the tape was edited to make them look stupid

Either way, they should be fired. Either way, it doesn't reflect poorly on the larger organization assuming they are fired and this behavior and/or stupidity isn't tolerated.

Re: Really now…

scooby509 — Tue, 15 Sep 2009 18:40:54 -0000

Three separate ACORN offices cheerfully colluded with what they believed was a law student seeking to go into politics, and who wanted to pay for his career by having his girlfriend run a brothel with child prostitutes from El Salvador.

I guess they figured, hey, the guy's no different from Barney Frank!

Re: Wow.

swingtrading — Sun, 13 Sep 2009 03:27:55 -0000

Interesting post. I have made a twitter post about this. Others no doubt will like it like I did.

Re: Bill Kristol: “I’m not sure the VA… has the best health care.”

alchemytoday — Wed, 09 Sep 2009 20:23:02 -0000

People actually know what the VA does better. My "VA for everyone" solution isn't really necessary if the reforms adopted by the VA were widely adopted. Namely, electronic medical records and electronic verification of procedures (decreases costs and increases quality) and the fact that patients are with the VA forever creates an incentive to prevent problems earlier. Anyway, the VA instituted a slew of reforms, most in the late 90s, that are real and in theory not difficult to emulate. Check out Phil Longman's article "The Best Care Anywhere" - http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2005/... - or the book that he wrote from the same material.

I generally agree that a little reform is better than none (subsidize care, reform regulations, etc). Ditto on hiding the costs of care by tying them to employment. There's definitely a lot of stuff to change besides socializing the whole thing, but where we have totally socialized health care it's worked better than where we haven't. It's certainly not a good choice for Bill Kristol to pick on... it was 20 years ago, but it's not today.

Re: Bill Kristol: “I’m not sure the VA… has the best health care.”

scooby509 — Wed, 09 Sep 2009 18:39:34 -0000

Well, I've already wasted 15 minutes screwing with their stupid shopping cart, so I'll have to pass on reading that article.

So if VA gets people who are unhealthier than the general population, I'd like to know how that happens. Maybe only the poorest veterans with the fewest options are going to them, fine, but that's hardly a ringing endorsement of the VA.

My point was that your comparison is weak and I'm still not convinced that it holds. One more fundamental mistake I think you're making is in believing that there's some special sauce that the VA has that makes them somehow better managed than private insurance. You're in good company: look at any job site and you'll see hundreds of consultants claiming that they've got some magical secret to running a business. If we just modeled a huge government system after the VA and gave them all this special sauce, we'd solve health care!

There is no sauce. Most businesses don't know how they work. A big corporation might carefully analyze how they run their core business (McDonalds, for example, does know how to make a burger), but that means that they understand maybe one out of thousands of departments. So the businesses around aren't the best, they're just good enough not to go out of business. The ones that are truly terrible are regulated, in effect by the market.

The trouble with government is that the only thing to regulate the government is the political process. Sure, certain small units within the government, e.g. police and military, have people who are routinely risking life and limb and they're highly motivated. And I'm sure that doctors and nurses under a government program, who actually have to see people in pain, are similarly motivated. But when you get one level removed you find the typical apathy and mediocrity.

And when you have laws like the WWII era vestiges of wage controls that tie health benefits to employment, you can insulate certain businesses from market forces. Insurance companies provide bad service because the huge cost of switching jobs protects them from the consequences.

We could achieve most of what people want by removing the tax break for health benefits and providing a subsidy for non-emergency care. And if the Dems genuinely wanted reform, they'd start with obvious reforms like that and build on it.

Re: Bill Kristol: “I’m not sure the VA… has the best health care.”

alchemytoday — Wed, 09 Sep 2009 11:52:13 -0000

"In addition to being older than the general US population (eg, 35.6% VHA users are age 65 or older versus 17% of general US population), VHA users as a group have a markedly higher chronic disease burden, are less well educated, and are more likely to be unemployed and otherwise more socioeconomically disadvantaged than are veterans overall or the general population."

This is from a 1997 article in the Annals of Emergency Medicine - The “New VA”: Delivering Health Care Value Through Integrated Service Networks

Also, "Unlike the Medicare and Medicaid programs, VA health care is not an entitlement; it is funded by a discretionary appropriation, which currently exceeds $17 billion. Access to care is limited by the amount of appropriated funding and is guided by a Congressionally mandated priority order. Accordingly, of the 25.9 million American veterans alive today, only about 9 million are actually eligible to use the system."

VHA patients would be more expensive, on average, to treat than the average private health care patient. Previous life in the military involves a lot of what ends up being preventative care, but also leads to a lot of chronic problems.

Re: Bill Kristol: “I’m not sure the VA… has the best health care.”

scooby509 — Wed, 09 Sep 2009 06:26:58 -0000

"That works out to under $6000/person. The national average is $8000/person."

When you go into MEPS (Military Entrance Processing Station or something like that) you go through medical screening. Any prior medical problems? Fat? Uncorrectable eyesight? Hearing? Psychological issues? Drugs? Goodbye, and don't let the door hit your ass on the way out.

And, yes, they really will shitcan you for a boil on the ass.

While you're in the service, you're forced to get all your shots, do calisthenics / running every morning, etc. (I'm immune to smallpox, hurrah!) You have to maintain a high level of strength and physical endurance and are taped to make sure you stay within body fat levels. You get free drugs to quit smoking.

Yes, a tiny minority of soldiers see action and are injured quite badly. But, all in all, the VA gets to work with a segment of the population that is far healthier than the norm.

"Expanding the VA to be the United States’ National Health Service..."

... would be impossible without ruling out 90% of the population the way the military can. You're 100% wrong on this, bub.

Re: The earth has warmed faster in the past 10 years than in the past half century

weightlosspills1 — Mon, 31 Aug 2009 12:01:34 -0000

earth is keep on warming, i don't what is going to happen

Re: Is the devil in the digits?

weightlosspills1 — Wed, 26 Aug 2009 09:27:10 -0000

wow, what a math,,,,,, it seems nice

Re: Bill Kristol: “I’m not sure the VA… has the best health care.”

wkc — Sat, 15 Aug 2009 01:11:03 -0000

Isn't the real headline here "conservatives know government can pull good health care but don't think the public deserves it"?

Re: Bill Kristol: “I’m not sure the VA… has the best health care.”

artwright — Tue, 04 Aug 2009 13:10:07 -0000

"Dunce" has apparently never tried to get health care at a VA facility. Having retired from the Navy in 1989, and having less than stellar employer health benefits for several years after my discharge, I spent quite a bit of time in VA hospitals, mostly in Dallas, TX. Five hour waiting time seemed as if a gift from God. Many, not all, of the personell there treat the day as if they are just barely hanging from the lip of Dante's fifth circle of hell, and slipping quickly. I guess they had risen to the level of their incompetence, and couldn't get a job at a place that demanded more than a third-grade reading level, and the ability to not drool on the paperwork. Go visit a large VA triage ward and you will appreciate hell...